National Assembly elections · June 7, 2026
IX convocation101+ mandates100% proportional
Pre-election polls and an NA-composition simulator
Armenians will elect a new Parliament on June 7th. Explore the pre-election polls, and see the NA composition and possible scenarios (majority, coalition, second round) under different vote splits.
Voting has ended
Awaiting the official results.
NewsAll
- The CEC adopted the decision on election to the National Assembly and the allocation of mandates
- The CEC drew up the protocol on the voting results
- The CEC summarized the recount results of 637 precincts
- The No. 12 territorial commission invalidated the voting results of precinct 12/13
- The CEC invalidated the voting results of precincts 35/65 and 10/51
- MPG/Gallup “Tars-Kapuyt” poll added
- Two new polls added — ArmES Wave 4 and CRRC-Armenia
- The CEC voided the electoral-list registration of the “ALLIANCE” Progressive Centrist Party
- The CEC voided the registration of 7 candidates of “Against Everyone”
01Polling average
02Expected NA composition
Expected composition
105 seats · one dot = one mandate
Seat distribution
Mandates of forces above the threshold
ForceVoteSeatsNA %
16
CC44.1%5552.4%
CC44.1%5552.4%3
SA17.0%2120.0%
SA17.0%2120.0%17
AA12.2%1413.3%
AA12.2%1413.3%7
PA7.8%98.6%
PA7.8%98.6%6
WU4.7%65.7%
WU4.7%65.7%Above threshold5 forces
Coalition threshold52%
Expected result by the polling average
Stable majority
The front-runner alone secures a stable majority (52%+ of mandates).
Government
CC55 seats · 44.1% votes
Above threshold
5 forces
cleared the 4% / 8% / 10% threshold
Possible coalitions
—
no coalition needed
All participants
18 political forces
Explore the pre-election lists of the parties and alliances running in the elections.
See the participants→04Scenarios to try
Pick one
Clicking a scenario opens the simulator already filled with the votes. You can then change any force’s result.
CC stable majority with a bonus
- 16CC55
- 3SA16
- 17AA10
- 7PA8
Stable · + bonusTry it→
Classic opposition coalition
- 16CC43
- 3SA24
- 17AA19
- 7PA13
Coalition · OppositionTry it→
Broad opposition coalition
- 16CC43
- 3SA17
- 17AA11
- 7PA8
Coalition · 7 forcesTry it→
An NA of one-person parties
- 16CC78
- 3SA21
- 7PA9
- 17AA2
2/3 majority ruleTry it→
CC constitutional majority
- 16CC81
- 3SA10
- 17AA9
- 7PA5
Stable · ⅔+ mandatesTry it→
Second round · CC wins
- 16CC51
- 3SA20
- 17AA13
- 7PA10
Second round · CCTry it→
Make a prediction
Build your scenario
Give each force your predicted percentage to see what the NA composition would look like, who would have a majority, and whether a coalition or second round would be needed.
Open the simulator→