elect.amNA elec. 2026BETA
National Assembly elections · June 7, 2026
IX convocation101+ mandates100% proportional

Pre-election polls and an NA-composition simulator

Armenians will elect a new Parliament on June 7th. Explore the pre-election polls, and see the NA composition and possible scenarios (majority, coalition, second round) under different vote splits.

RA National Assembly building
Voting has ended
Awaiting the official results.
01Polling average
Polling average

Averaged rating of the forces

16ՔՊ logoCC30.5
3ՈւՀ logoSAall.11.8
17ՀԴ logoAAall.8.4
7ԲՀԿ logoPA5.4
6ՄԹ logoWU3.3
15ԴՕԿ logoDLD2.0
4ՇՊԿ logoMP1.7
19ԼՀԿ logoBA1.5
5ՆՈւ logoNP1.3
2ԲԴԵՄ logoAAE1.2
Trend

Change over time

Showing forces ≥ 2%
Included polls10/10
02Expected NA composition
Expected composition

105 seats · one dot = one mandate

105SEATS
55
21
14
9
Seat distribution

Mandates of forces above the threshold

ForceVoteSeatsNA %
16ՔՊ logoCC44.1%5552.4%
3ՈւՀ logoSA17.0%2120.0%
17ՀԴ logoAA12.2%1413.3%
7ԲՀԿ logoPA7.8%98.6%
6ՄԹ logoWU4.7%65.7%
Above threshold5 forces
Coalition threshold52%
Expected result by the polling average

Stable majority

The front-runner alone secures a stable majority (52%+ of mandates).

52% · Stable⅔ · Const.
52.4%
Government's share of mandates52.4%
Government
ՔՊ logoCC
55 seats · 44.1% votes
Above threshold
5 forces
cleared the 4% / 8% / 10% threshold
Possible coalitions
no coalition needed
All participants

18 political forces

Explore the pre-election lists of the parties and alliances running in the elections.

See the participants
04Scenarios to try
Pick one

Clicking a scenario opens the simulator already filled with the votes. You can then change any force’s result.

Make a prediction

Build your scenario

Give each force your predicted percentage to see what the NA composition would look like, who would have a majority, and whether a coalition or second round would be needed.

Open the simulator